Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b42523e147873dabd296356281172af1371f38f2057a59c80851048be632b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ca9…062dbacked Over | 69c | 17,794$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 12,462$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed Over | 50c | 10,974$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…12c3backed Over | 69c | 10,079$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 6,547$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 39c | 6,118$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.51 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 5,062$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.62 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 68c | 4,831$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ffc1backed Under | 61c | 4,714$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.44 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Under | 9c | 4,430$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.01 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.75 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Over | 41c | 3,839$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 3,799$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.96 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed Under | 46c | 3,767$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.44 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 3,255$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 30c | 3,198$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.88 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 2,418$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.42 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 2,400$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.08 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Over | 24c | 2,200$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…55e5backed Over | 33c | 2,030$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 52c | 1,931$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Under | 34c | 1,914$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 1,914$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.33 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 1,734$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 12c | 1,688$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 31c | 1,487$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.11 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…9469backed Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Under | 63c | 1,398$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 1,203$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 42c | 1,109$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.68 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…cb59backed Over | 64c | 1,080$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 956.89$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.21 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 952.5$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.75 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 68c | 886.49$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.81 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Over | 69c | 879.15$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.61 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 58c | 782.99$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 35c | 779.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 69c | 739.97$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.13 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2300…53f8backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 68c | 734.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Over | 68c | 732.06$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.88 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over | 66c | 709.63$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.43 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 16c | 695.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 7c | 535$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…e3c5backed Over | 3c | 532.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 10c | 488$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 60c | 483.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 68c | 400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 12c | 386.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Under | 33c | 375.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.07 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…a266backed Over | 61c | 349.37$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under | 43c | 345.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…1544backed Over | 45c | 329.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over | 61c | 319.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Over | 68c | 305.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.07 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 70c | 298.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…270abacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…8656backed Over | 68c | 294.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…1162backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 31c | 290.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Over | 69c | 289.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Under | 33c | 287.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Over | 59c | 280$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…22ccbacked Over | 68c | 270.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 37c | 269$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 36c | 266.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…d736backed Over | 16c | 259.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Under | 32c | 227.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 41c | 219.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Over | 46c | 217.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Over | 53c | 214.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 31c | 204.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Under | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…8292backed Over | 55c | 181.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 19c | 180.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 49c | 174.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…9a7cbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.