TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ca9…062dbacked Over69c17,794$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c12,462$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.614,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over50c10,974$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x111a…12c3backed Over69c10,079$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c6,547$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under39c6,118$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.5136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c5,062$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.621,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over68c4,831$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under61c4,714$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.449233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under9c4,430$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.014942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.7524058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe39a…efc1backed Over41c3,839$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5907126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c3,799$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under46c3,767$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.448243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c3,255$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under30c3,198$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.8837959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c2,418$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.421,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c2,400$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.082,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Over24c2,200$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5302751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5b…55e5backed Over33c2,030$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.33253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over52c1,931$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Under34c1,914$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c1,914$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c1,734$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over12c1,688$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c1,487$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.112,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Under63c1,398$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.721735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under52c1,203$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.682,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under42c1,109$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.6844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over64c1,080$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.621827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c956.89$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.213,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under30c952.5$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.751,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over67c895.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over68c886.49$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.813568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over69c879.15$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.6111619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under58c782.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8613738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over35c779.98$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.998728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over69c739.97$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.132,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Over68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c734.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Over68c732.06$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.882669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over69c724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.562,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over66c709.63$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.4318449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over16c695.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.431,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under7c535$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.156253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0194…e3c5backed Over3c532.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17519531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over10c488$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.85719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over60c483.84$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over68c400$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over12c386.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Under33c375.07$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.074940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21032740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd967…a266backed Over61c349.37$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+87.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under43c345.26$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.974148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc3…1544backed Over45c329.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over61c319.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2111035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over68c305.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0710855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d81…8d1abacked Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.035424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2078938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under70c298.78$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6325049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4af6…270abacked Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…8656backed Over68c294.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…1162backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under31c290.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.341,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over69c289.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d10abacked Under33c287.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.885446.3%25 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Over59c280$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6621…22ccbacked Over68c270.5$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under37c269$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.474330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over36c266.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.121,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd2…d736backed Over16c259.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.091723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Under32c227.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.272133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over41c219.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.853436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Over46c217.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over53c214.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.039450%47 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over68c205.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c204.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.31,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Under58c201.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.729064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13626537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f64…e6d1backed Under33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1342213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.995945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb51…8292backed Over55c181.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over19c180.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.831,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over49c174.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012060.8%73 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.