TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6149…b48cbacked Over37c2,703$1,000 inLost-$1,0004535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under63c1,944$1,225 inWon+$719.486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c570.58$216 inLost-$216.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c296$188 inWon+$107.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under63c219.23$138 inWon+$81.1112871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83a0…f89dbacked Over36c152.96$56 inLost-$55.681450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over36c100$36 inLost-$3614829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over37c100$37 inLost-$372937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over36c99.99$36 inLost-$3627028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c91.36$58 inWon+$32.892,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c77.51$48 inWon+$29.213,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over39c64.87$25 inLost-$2512028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over39c64.1$25 inLost-$2537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under62c60$37 inWon+$22.832855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Over38c52.78$20 inLost-$209418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x492e…e77fbacked Over38c51.95$20 inLost-$206233.9%21 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e7…9a37backed Over40c50$20 inLost-$202825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under62c47.2$29 inWon+$17.9457252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under63c31.29$20 inWon+$11.588938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over36c29.99$11 inLost-$10.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under65c24.62$16 inWon+$8.6231149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under63c24.02$15 inWon+$8.9641344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf13…7c9abacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.