TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf13…7c9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+214.4%+$67.68
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$12.75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.9
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$57.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+259%+$34.75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+200.7%+$22.08
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$12.42
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+50%+$9.86
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+588.2%+$518.78
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.39
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.96
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$11.63
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.23
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.98
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.97
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3275%24 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.89
Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$31.81
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+158.3%+$21.26
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$53
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.23
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$11.54
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$17.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$34.02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$16.35
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76.14
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.1
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.9
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$13.14
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$20.57
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$6.32
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$21.75
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$10.41
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazilbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Panamabacked Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaraguabacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.91
Will Botafogo FR vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4.98
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$27.12
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+132.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+258.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+258.2%+$29.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.9%+$18.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$8.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.