MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c94df7f989e183b1ae482492667bfb1e212924ea34641b73aa2a26a3ac21de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 38c | 312,808$120,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,610.99 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 150,000$93,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,999.99 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 96,869$59,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,035.2 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 31,134$16,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,483.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 17,615$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,392.86 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 42c | 17,423$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.31 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 16,194$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 13,741$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 13,253$7,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,837.47 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 10,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Houston Astros | 34c | 8,544$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.46 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 8,447$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 7,659$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 6,947$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.1 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked Houston Astros | 74c | 6,761$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 41c | 6,708$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.18 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Houston Astros | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Houston Astros | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 5,058$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.74 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 4,372$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Houston Astros | 38c | 3,960$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 3,800$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,750$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,976$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.13 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 2,754$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,512$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,460$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,309$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Houston Astros | 72c | 2,226$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.34 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,050$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 38c | 2,001$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.16 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,987$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.72 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a0…16e5backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,979$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,877$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.5 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,847$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.49 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,831$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.51 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,776$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.27 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,756$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,729$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.94 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Houston Astros | 32c | 1,627$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.3 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 1,516$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.33 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Houston Astros | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,381$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.35 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 1,326$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.57 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,183$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.44 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,133$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.29 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,093$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.36 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,082$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.14 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,065$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.8 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Houston Astros | 72c | 1,050$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 1,036$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,034$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.28 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,019$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 975$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.5 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Houston Astros | 38c | 965.23$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.06 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 850.82$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 817.34$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…579cbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 763.52$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Houston Astros | 53c | 755.59$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 725.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.59 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 722.22$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 717.4$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.74 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 681$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 673.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.02 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 672.5$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.19 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 653.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Houston Astros | 33c | 622.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 557.25$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Houston Astros | 42c | 556.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.36 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 537.87$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Houston Astros | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Houston Astros | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 494.94$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 30c | 491.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 480$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 40c | 477.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.78 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Houston Astros | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 37c | 468.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 34c | 459.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.01 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 439.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 437$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 411$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.34 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 409$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Houston Astros | 71c | 406.41$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Houston Astros | 36c | 397.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d00…8af3backed Houston Astros | 39c | 385$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…e955backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 366.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 203 | 59.1%120 W · 83 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 38c | 365$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 343.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Houston Astros | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 3.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.