TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7e9…ee46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.92
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$168.45
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$277.8
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$263.1
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+121%+$208.09
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$105.2
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.23
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.4
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+447.9%+$158.54
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$159.28
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Bryczek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.53
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Themba Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.7
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Alexa Grasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.48
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$198.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.6
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.6
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.9
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.4
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.3
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$37.02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99.99
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$351
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33%+$34.7
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$31.2
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$53.32
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.84
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$58.22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.52
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$157.86
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.76
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$600.06
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$527
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.93
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.23
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.85
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.18
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+267%+$1,667.2
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.62
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+505.9%+$520.08
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.49
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.28
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$81.48
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$185.58
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$231.55
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+55%+$11.01
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$97.93
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$7.55
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$119
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.