MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0743dab081a4dc6d7d455fafeb3281e5605ba3802acc7122f2b319abf60ef7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Baltimore Orioles, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 39,765$14,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,666.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 70c | 23,783$16,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 22,391$8,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,632.49 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 14,849$9,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.97 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 62c | 14,585$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.49 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 65c | 12,827$8,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 62c | 11,397$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 62c | 9,895$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees | 62c | 7,292$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 6,421$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 6,001$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.35 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 5,816$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 5,100$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 5,007$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.32 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 72c | 4,885$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.92 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 4,500$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 66c | 4,342$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 4,249$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 4,149$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.5 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 3,894$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.58 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed New York Yankees | 63c | 3,683$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,990$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.3 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,708$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.9 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,583$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.54 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 2,269$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees | 80c | 2,195$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 73c | 2,000$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 77c | 1,980$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.24 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,939$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.72 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,896$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,817$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.78 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 63c | 1,812$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 1,690$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,606$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.45 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,500$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,340$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,282$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 1,063$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 999.92$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 928.57$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 861$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees | 63c | 828.12$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 818.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed New York Yankees | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 759.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed New York Yankees | 63c | 727.2$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 723.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 723.02$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 63c | 704.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 75c | 639$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed New York Yankees | 60c | 601.6$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 513.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Yankees | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees | 62c | 499.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 475.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed New York Yankees | 63c | 433$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 426$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees | 75c | 421.33$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 407.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 387.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 375.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 360$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 293.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed New York Yankees | 64c | 281.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 276.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 255.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed New York Yankees | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed New York Yankees | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 241.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 239.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed New York Yankees | 63c | 236.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 223.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 221.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed New York Yankees | 63c | 214.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed New York Yankees | 70c | 212.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.