MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a426e0568fdcb125ea5e80a38af1a2d18414caff2723c185856529af69b78ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.95 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 69c | 2,701$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.36 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 45c | 2,572$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed New York Yankees | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.22 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 798.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 574.29$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees | 46c | 512.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 502.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 395.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 391.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 344.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed New York Yankees | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 271.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 204.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 178.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 149.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 44c | 135.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…72c3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 124.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 120.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed New York Yankees | 45c | 119.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…a8b6backed New York Yankees | 46c | 109.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 106.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 103.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 102.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed New York Yankees | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 97.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 97.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 91.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 87.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 44c | 82.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 66.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees | 45c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 59.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Yankees | 69c | 59.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed New York Yankees | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees | 49c | 49.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed New York Yankees | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked New York Yankees | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 41.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 44c | 40.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 36.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 34.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 252 | 48%121 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed New York Yankees | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 27.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed New York Yankees | 47c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked New York Yankees | 43c | 24.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked New York Yankees | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed New York Yankees | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.