MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506ddd3d1b603e92adf79d829ec2327c74495965857a66b06c73a26654cc2897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,599.98 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 47c | 60,134$28,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,263.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 11,178$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 5,274$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.8 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 2,806$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,791$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.76 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 2,096$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Over | 53c | 1,874$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 1,458$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.49 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 1,167$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.93 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,158$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.88 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 1,080$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.21 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 1,023$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 760.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 725.36$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 47c | 698.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 47c | 606$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 603.15$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 476.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 435.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 43c | 397.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 384.83$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 381.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 69c | 336.74$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 43c | 334.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.73 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 48c | 285.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 244$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 240$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 52c | 236.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 47c | 231.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 50c | 197.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 58c | 190.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 59c | 187$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 42c | 173.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 53c | 165.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 135.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 47c | 126.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Under | 29c | 121.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 115.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 67c | 113.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 104.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 89.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 40c | 82.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 77.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 51c | 77.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 67.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 52c | 58.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 48c | 57.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 44c | 56.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 56c | 54.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Over | 52c | 53.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 56c | 51.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 47c | 49.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 48.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 48c | 46.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 45.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 54c | 39.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 44c | 37.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 45c | 35.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Under | 50c | 28.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 49c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 47c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 49c | 21.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed Over | 53c | 19.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 53c | 19.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.