TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c80,000$42,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,599.9855253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986b…12e9backed Under47c60,134$28,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,263.212250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c11,178$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.524,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under55c5,274$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.82,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c2,806$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.591,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,791$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.765,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c2,096$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.2812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Over53c1,874$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.045149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7991,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c1,458$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.491,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c1,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.936,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,158$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.888,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,080$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.591,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under47c1,043$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2192554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c1,023$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.332,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c760.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7741149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c725.36$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7627449.3%135 W · 139 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under47c698.03$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0765749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under47c606$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8227351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c603.15$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.451,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.929045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over52c476.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.791,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c435.08$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.496,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over43c397.27$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.022,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over54c384.83$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over52c381.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.394734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over69c336.74$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0618156.4%102 W · 79 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over43c334.44$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.732,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c285.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.651,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0240348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c244$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.684,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over64c240$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over52c236.54$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5418154.7%99 W · 82 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under47c231.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9367444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009753.6%52 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9649649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under50c197.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.116,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Under58c190.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030963.1%195 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6848150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under59c187$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.335,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over42c173.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8697050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c165.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2322248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.839344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5148651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c135.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.912,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over47c126.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2216947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Under29c121.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c115.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.471,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over67c113.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4937143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over55c104.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.131,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under48c101$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4528350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4787453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c89.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.491,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under40c82.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.151,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over77c82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.834,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over71c77.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.929047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over51c77.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8337844.4%168 W · 210 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.91,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c67.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2275544.2%334 W · 421 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0872247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over44c59.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over52c58.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.033033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under48c57.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.021,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over44c56.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under56c54.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381,37454.2%745 W · 629 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Over52c53.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7514353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under56c51.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.851,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2455953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over47c49.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5515037.3%56 W · 94 L-15.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c48.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.021,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1715045.3%68 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over48c46.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.977556%42 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c45.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c44.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.132,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2121353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over54c39.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0718551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7427452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under44c37.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7226553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under45c35.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414146.1%65 W · 76 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Over54c29.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.635253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Under50c28.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2112846.1%59 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over49c27.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121,02250.6%517 W · 505 L+54.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over54c27.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7914047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over47c25.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.520258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over49c21.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed Over53c19.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.355947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over53c19.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.