TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5df7…3d27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT9537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.07
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.05
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.5
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.71
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$33
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112%+$28.01
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.12
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.07
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+77%+$16.94
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$147.87
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.32
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Philadelphia Phillies winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$62.53
Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$19.3
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$69.08
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$63.5
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.33
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.22
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.4
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.67
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$111.8
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.06
Norway to score first vs. Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+520.7%+$263.76
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$60.76
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.76
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$82.29
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$67.36
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+529.1%+$79.9
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+54.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$37.43
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+259.5%+$158.8
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+345.2%+$302.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$97.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.75
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.83
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$199.98
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)backed Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$22.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.81
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$155.34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$26.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$30.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$44
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$8.98
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.9
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$121.52
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$176.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+132.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+190.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$30.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+304.7%+$75.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$169.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.