TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox52c8,989$4,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.734,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c7,949$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.7244851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago White Sox66c6,992$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.2634942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c6,294$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.9611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Chicago White Sox55c2,746$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.9822257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Chicago White Sox53c2,653$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.0215148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c2,401$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.2511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c1,625$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.754,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Chicago White Sox52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.858256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Chicago White Sox55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9117546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox52c903.69$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox52c875.68$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.815,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Chicago White Sox54c866.78$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.727950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox69c686.97$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c542.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c536.06$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.951,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Chicago White Sox54c470$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.220455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Chicago White Sox54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9618658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c420$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21617545.7%80 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox55c395.96$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.182,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c305$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.98,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c298.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1199447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Chicago White Sox51c283.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.827851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c280.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Chicago White Sox54c253.47$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.618855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox42c229.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c223.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1894549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Chicago White Sox54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213453%71 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c195.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.853652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Chicago White Sox54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Chicago White Sox54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1917557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c183.87$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.974,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox53c175.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.436,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee8…07c4backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago White Sox54c153$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c136$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4817446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c132$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4650748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c121.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.12,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015452.6%81 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Chicago White Sox54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5912555.2%69 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Chicago White Sox54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5918556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c92.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2518860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Chicago White Sox54c91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.865459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f5…2266backed Chicago White Sox54c89.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.031656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8872154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…38a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c73.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c67.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.472,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c61.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913727.7%38 W · 99 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.321,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c47.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox53c46.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.891,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Chicago White Sox54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.314655.5%81 W · 65 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox77c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.314,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Chicago White Sox54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0422257.7%128 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24a…d24dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c35.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Chicago White Sox54c33.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.335143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5955643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.682741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2617…4129backed Chicago White Sox55c27.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.196456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c25.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8821549.8%107 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.916450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Chicago White Sox46c24.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.369344.1%41 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c23.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2813353.4%71 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago White Sox66c22.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Chicago White Sox61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7614643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.