MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d248ab690e593e96124dfb241fc28248af8a69f24be2cd81bd6c11083266716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 2,507$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 2,197$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 43c | 2,111$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.41 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 690$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 385.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 344$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 328.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 321.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 35c | 300.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 43c | 185.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 171.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…33f2backed Over | 37c | 167.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 62c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 140.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 140.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 112.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 92.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 20c | 90.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Over | 21c | 84.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 61.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 36c | 35.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 36c | 35.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 33.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…4b94backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 28.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 60c | 17.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.