TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe67c…33f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.31
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$69.43
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.88
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$18.29
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.16
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$33.71
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$113.45
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$35.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$66.77
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.56
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$29.65
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$59.08
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$71.81
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.49
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+367.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+367.3%+$202.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.