Fifa International · resolved market
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89575358da49d30f52b7d372b92c0dbaaaeb6d1537be96ebbc700d66d78249e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 667 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 26,550$20,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 25,317$15,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,495.33 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yes | 11c | 24,064$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…7c45backed Yes | 36c | 23,250$8,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.84 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…faa8backed Yes | 36c | 13,812$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…c3f9backed Yes | 39c | 12,915$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +102%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 15c | 11,166$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.72 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 10,897$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 7c | 10,127$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.88 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 13c | 9,234$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.13 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…5537backed Yes | 37c | 8,447$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 9c | 8,301$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.13 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 71c | 8,060$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.76 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 32c | 7,952$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.75 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 10c | 7,787$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.36 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 4c | 7,171$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 34c | 7,139$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.16 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 6,590$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 65c | 6,348$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.83 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1afc…e79abacked Yes | 19c | 5,663$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…20a2backed Yes | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 5,164$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.84 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 65c | 4,973$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.05 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed No | 67c | 4,903$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 7c | 4,631$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.48 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 4,568$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.17 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…5c48backed No | 64c | 4,358$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 38c | 4,338$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.05 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 4,253$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 37c | 3,916$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.95 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 3,858$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.88 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…26f5backed Yes | 37c | 3,711$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 5c | 3,469$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae9…b1efbacked No | 66c | 3,260$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +617.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 21c | 3,258$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.09 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…060abacked No | 68c | 3,249$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 62c | 3,220$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.6 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,171$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…96f7backed Yes | 32c | 3,128$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 9c | 2,923$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,842$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 2,830$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.59 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 2,822$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.32 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,806$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…6c2dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,783$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…2091backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed No | 64c | 2,761$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.11 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 64c | 2,625$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.86 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 2,436$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.07 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 14c | 2,426$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 63c | 2,261$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 36c | 2,223$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 64c | 2,168$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.48 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 64c | 2,115$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.87 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 38c | 1,993$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.97 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 35c | 1,988$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 65c | 1,908$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.57 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 37c | 1,888$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.56 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 64c | 1,883$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.68 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,813$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 65c | 1,779$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.41 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…8b24backed Yes | 8c | 1,583$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 34c | 1,506$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.73 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,489$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 59c | 1,457$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.25 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 64c | 1,455$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 65c | 1,431$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.68 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 35c | 1,400$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.98 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…d190backed Yes | 36c | 1,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…ca2bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…49bcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,328$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed Yes | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 35c | 1,312$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.87 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 9c | 1,306$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 64c | 1,280$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.39 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 67c | 1,264$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…0231backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…596bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,250$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 71c | 1,225$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.88 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…6003backed Yes | 35c | 1,207$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…e3babacked Yes | 22c | 1,206$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…f87dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,201$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 63c | 1,200$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.