TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1873…37b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: F1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.77
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olisebacked Olise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.57
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.11
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.26
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.8
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.05
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,031.3
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.49
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.7
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. backed Neymar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.81
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.61
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.12
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+454%+$1,092.51
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+896.2%+$28,967.96
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.39
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$56.61
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.96
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$513
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.35
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.8
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+326.7%+$351.96
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+415.6%+$2,239.2
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.1
Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)backed Toulouse FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.99
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.58
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.47
Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.55
Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.58
Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$708.59
Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$86.98
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.91
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.66
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$11.13
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51.3
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$59.2
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+132.3%+$19.93
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.32
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.03
Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.57
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.72
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.52
Will Fiorentina win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.25
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Will Strasbourg reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$18.87
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.9
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.42
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.14
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.33
Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.91
Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.94
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.53
Will GNK Dinamo win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+167.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$198.8
Will Mercedes finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.99
Will Williams finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+164.6%+$22.78
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,248.9%+$184
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.9
Will Racing Bulls finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44.42
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+78.4%+$59.09
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.39
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.