Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a2d2cadd9ebffdb7c235228782e0aa61a414572caf30160c02e87d30309a20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 0c | 162,877$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 85,138$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 40,639$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…e173backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 13,300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,399$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 5c | 11,816$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 6,262$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,947$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 5c | 3,305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…e86cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,177$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…46c5backed Yes | 5c | 2,912$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe181…cd0fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,825$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…f352backed Yes | 5c | 2,566$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 5c | 2,079$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…a99bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,032$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…f8d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…1f7abacked Yes | 5c | 1,965$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…b756backed Yes | 4c | 1,613$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa690…ff2fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,584$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 5c | 1,467$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…931abacked Yes | 5c | 1,204$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…f469backed Yes | 6c | 1,156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…298dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…ff7bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…f2aabacked Yes | 5c | 1,085$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…bfc9backed Yes | 5c | 1,065$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…2dfbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,028$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…caf1backed Yes | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…3c23backed Yes | 1c | 1,002$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…4e9dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…f79dbacked Yes | 6c | 985$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 5c | 984.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 10c | 916.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42e…dd36backed Yes | 6c | 910$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa76…36d1backed Yes | 6c | 861$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…d2b6backed Yes | 6c | 842$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a71cbacked Yes | 6c | 841$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…8368backed Yes | 6c | 836$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…6393backed Yes | 5c | 823$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…b709backed Yes | 6c | 805$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…9d6abacked Yes | 5c | 789$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4459…41fdbacked Yes | 5c | 776$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…1ab2backed Yes | 6c | 774$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 757.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 708.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…a432backed Yes | 7c | 704$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 695.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…5d83backed Yes | 5c | 670$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 608.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…23bebacked Yes | 6c | 541.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 5c | 523.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 424$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 355.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 5c | 347.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…5910backed Yes | 5c | 320.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…fcccbacked Yes | 8c | 277$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 7c | 238.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will AEK Larnaca win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Aberdeen win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes won
- Will Basel win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Brann win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Celtic win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will FCSB win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ferencváros win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Feyenoord win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Genk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will KuPS Kuopio win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will L. Red Imps win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lech Poznań win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ludogorets win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will M. Tel-Aviv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will PAOK win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Zrinjski win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.