Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e266f79ca3445e53fb775de30e5b1c7b9a3cd5ecf82ff8d6f83b755d953d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,528 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c37…d660backed Yes | 10c | 6,560$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 10c | 5,496$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.53 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,760$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…a0f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,112$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 11c | 2,710$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes | 12c | 2,664$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 10c | 1,764$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 11c | 1,757$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 1,675$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed Yes | 10c | 1,670$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 12c | 1,435$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes | 14c | 1,400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 13c | 1,328$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,208$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,110$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Yes | 13c | 923.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924e…3fe8backed Yes | 11c | 909.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…72bdbacked Yes | 11c | 830.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 784.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 13c | 781.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 11c | 780.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 13c | 764.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 11c | 750.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 14c | 694.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 11c | 656.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 17c | 648.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…45c0backed Yes | 16c | 618.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 14c | 551.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes | 12c | 504.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…a85ebacked Yes | 13c | 434.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked Yes | 15c | 411.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 407.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 10c | 394.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…27f9backed Yes | 14c | 383.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 14c | 371$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…246dbacked Yes | 12c | 342.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 11c | 295.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 11c | 291.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 8c | 290.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 11c | 276.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4468…10afbacked Yes | 14c | 240.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 16c | 209.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…13bcbacked Yes | 16c | 208.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…491abacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f04…f573backed Yes | 7c | 175.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 172.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…c308backed Yes | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 12c | 167.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 12c | 150.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…7ff3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…3516backed Yes | 13c | 130.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…8c29backed Yes | 11c | 128.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…8449backed Yes | 11c | 119.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 9c | 119.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…b7a7backed Yes | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 14c | 111.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…7122backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…62f1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will AEK Larnaca win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Aberdeen win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes won
- Will Basel win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Brann win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Celtic win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will FCSB win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ferencváros win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Feyenoord win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Genk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will KuPS Kuopio win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will L. Red Imps win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lech Poznań win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ludogorets win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will M. Tel-Aviv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will PAOK win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Zrinjski win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.