Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23326ec3df257b719067be078e7b98ec3e29908b70e80c8ab0e950fe4e8a2725

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,735 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	1c	4,770$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes	10c	3,850$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.33	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes	12c	3,093$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	11c	2,928$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.15	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes	12c	2,926$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	6c	2,679$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.49	114	19.3%22 W · 92 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb304…3ea2backed Yes	15c	2,381$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	11c	2,208$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.87	53	5.7%3 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes	13c	2,156$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.68	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-7.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	10c	1,233$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	12c	1,000$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.64	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	9c	999.73$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.44	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…ac75backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	10c	599.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	25cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	3c	525$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	9c	409.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cb…7ea7backed Yes	12c	400.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Yes	7c	336.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	40cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf573…5910backed Yes	12c	284.62$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3342…fba2backed Yes	12c	284.16$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2254…3e9cbacked Yes	11c	278.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	11c	268.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	6c	209.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes	9c	207.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-45%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	9c	200.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	9c	199.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f54…5c41backed Yes	13c	195.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	12c	180.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+35%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	12c	168.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes	11c	154.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes	9c	130.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20eb…6687backed Yes	13c	127.48$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	9c	120.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	120.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	16c	109.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	36cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes	12c	96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1c1…275ebacked Yes	13c	83.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event