TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,984 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes3c15,663$396 inLost-$395.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c13,076$303 inLost-$302.7111419.3%22 W · 92 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c7,635$110 inLost-$109.62629.7%6 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-67.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes4c6,491$249 inLost-$248.53633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes3c5,114$152 inLost-$151.6166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-71.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes5c2,978$153 inLost-$153.4980%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes3c1,887$56 inLost-$561127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes3c1,315$35 inLost-$34.985518.2%10 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes5c1,312$60 inLost-$59.99616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+147.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2b…f01fbacked Yes3c1,158$39 inLost-$39.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes3c1,154$34 inLost-$33.6147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c1,094$26 inLost-$25.92535.7%3 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes3c999.98$26 inLost-$264643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes3c818.87$21 inLost-$21.43911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid-33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5553…6d2ebacked Yes2c816.96$15 inLost-$14.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes5c758.43$37 inLost-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes4c750.65$30 inLost-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes3c700$22 inLost-$21.7150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0323…a333backed Yes3c541.12$16 inLost-$16.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes4c533.47$20 inLost-$20.1166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-89.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes3c499.56$17 inLost-$16.791030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+119.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf96c…e0ddbacked Yes5c421.07$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x097d…7a5abacked Yes5c416.25$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd842…d69bbacked Yes4c350.75$14 inLost-$14.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes3c327.13$10 inLost-$10.181526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfa…c8ccbacked Yes5c230.11$11 inLost-$10.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.