Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4417a58b228def91acd61d26a5da150fe1364fd94e2d831af8d04b66f1c5cbb2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	3c	5,742$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	114	19.3%22 W · 92 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes	2c	5,044$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.91	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	2c	4,692$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.53	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	2c	2,771$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.51	53	5.7%3 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	1c	2,177$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…a0b7backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	2c	1,715$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	2c	1,559$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes	1c	1,148$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb4…f4c6backed Yes	2c	787.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	556.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	3c	528.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	446.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	62	9.7%6 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	3c	357.47$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	5c	225$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event