TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3e2…1026

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.82
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$28.79
Nets vs. Spursbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+203%+$42.64
Wizards vs. Mavericksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26%+$26.03
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$44.63
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$12.16
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$108.15
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Torino win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$146.55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.39
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+27.1%+$36.88
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$137.76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.1%+$26.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$347.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,049.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.