NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf86a068220fc7d666b1b3e69c3be37c5cbf7512b17660ff36b46426ff04521e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $772,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Hawks | 25c | 141,018$35,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,254.53 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Hawks | 25c | 127,779$31,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,928.38 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Thunder | 75c | 50,068$37,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,517.61 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Thunder | 75c | 38,961$29,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,740.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Hawks | 29c | 35,000$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.88 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Thunder | 75c | 33,505$25,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,498.77 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Thunder | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.02 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder | 73c | 29,224$21,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,917.47 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thunder | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 30c | 24,708$7,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,412.38 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Thunder | 71c | 24,077$16,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,101.76 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks | 27c | 20,521$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.72 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hawks | 27c | 19,758$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.72 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Thunder | 76c | 18,561$14,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.64 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 30c | 17,548$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Thunder | 75c | 17,463$13,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.75 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 25c | 16,828$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…14b5backed Thunder | 50c | 15,156$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,578 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…51e0backed Hawks | 50c | 15,156$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,578 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 75c | 13,846$10,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.31 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 71c | 12,038$8,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.01 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Thunder | 74c | 11,500$8,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 29c | 9,999$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.47 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks | 2c | 9,850$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Thunder | 74c | 9,143$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.18 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 75c | 7,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 4c | 6,038$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Thunder | 76c | 5,921$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.05 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Thunder | 75c | 5,464$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 27c | 5,100$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 75c | 4,889$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.25 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 5c | 4,577$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Hawks | 17c | 4,434$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.84 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Thunder | 74c | 4,160$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.75 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Thunder | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Hawks | 18c | 3,559$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.41 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b8…be4cbacked Thunder | 70c | 3,464$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Hawks | 29c | 3,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Hawks | 11c | 2,992$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Thunder | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hawks | 23c | 2,700$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 29c | 2,600$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Hawks | 25c | 2,594$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.59 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,547$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.14 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Thunder | 70c | 2,500$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.35 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 7c | 2,459$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 76c | 2,107$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.31 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Thunder | 76c | 1,962$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.44 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Hawks | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hawks | 12c | 1,900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Hawks | 31c | 1,888$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Thunder | 79c | 1,833$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.75 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,588$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Thunder | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,473$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks | 22c | 1,380$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 27c | 1,301$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 4c | 1,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…2c01backed Hawks | 3c | 1,077$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 31c | 1,017$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…7017backed Hawks | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 75c | 1,000$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Thunder | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Hawks | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Hawks | 20c | 950$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…04b6backed Thunder | 75c | 927.61$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Hawks | 31c | 899.03$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Thunder | 74c | 865.84$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6504backed Thunder | 70c | 850$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Thunder | 73c | 788$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 10c | 780$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…ed18backed Hawks | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Hawks | 25c | 744.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…e47bbacked Hawks | 21c | 707.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed Thunder | 75c | 704.03$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Thunder | 76c | 696.28$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…ce71backed Thunder | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Hawks | 24c | 660$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Thunder | 76c | 615.74$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Hawks | 29c | 607.84$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Hawks | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Hawks | 28c | 554$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Hawks | 29c | 528.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…cd90backed Thunder | 70c | 500$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Hawks | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked Thunder | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…0f55backed Hawks | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Hawks | 28c | 480$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Hawks | 25c | 463.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Hawks | 28c | 456.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Thunder | 70c | 456$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Thunder | 75c | 406.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Hawks | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Hawks | 26c | 373.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Hawksthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.