TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd97c…aedb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
521
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT18452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+845.5%+$15,029.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,776
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$377.99
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,777Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,495.31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.7
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.54
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$554
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$360.64
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$347.23
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$765
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.44
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$387
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$897
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.81
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$109.67
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.73
Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.49
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.67
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$58.27
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5034%17 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$499.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$1,039.58
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$1,802.77
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+32.5%+$619.11
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65.8%+$137.23
Will Solana reach $150 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$376
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,706
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,903.67
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,932.51
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,586Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+60.4%+$2,164.81
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$9,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$9,997
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,888
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,602.35
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,212.56
Will Solana reach $150 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,332
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,111
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$651.52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,460Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+62.9%+$1,548.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100.2%+$2,018.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+235.8%+$2,620.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$323.18
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,554
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$379.51
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.5
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$450.25
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$744.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$469.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$156.27
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+57.7%+$256.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$135.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$388.75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$95.14
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$70.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$282.55
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$141.27
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$153.29
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$124.95
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,488.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$911.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$61.79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+203%+$1,577.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$5,714.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$219.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$133.96
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$59.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$141.93
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$111
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29%+$64.27
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$62.62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$65.19
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+27.4%+$304.24
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$249.92
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40%+$266.4
Chelsea vs. Wolves: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+33.4%+$99.8
Will Norwich City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$561.43
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.53
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,046.07
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.15
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,834.55
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.35
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.47
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$175.26
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$48
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$78.02
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+108.4%+$182.07
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.6%+$125.58
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+203%+$450.73
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.1%+$150.53
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$109.34
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$933.53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$509.28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.09
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,441.54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.83
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$1,476.51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,519.62
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+329.5%+$11,828.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$136.44
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$615.42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,321.79
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,066.36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,588.93
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,008.41
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,935.83
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,123.7
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,386.41
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$243
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$104.47
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$999
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.4%+$157.84
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$333
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$83.25
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$222
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$174.43
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$444
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78%+$432.85
Georgia State vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37%+$82.11
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$88.52
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$66.31
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$31.31
Buffalo vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$309.86
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$444
Central Michigan vs. Bowlingbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+159.5%+$531.1
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+400%+$264.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$558.33
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$132.62
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$66.31
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$251.21
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,280.73
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$177.04
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.6%+$386.01
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$102.46
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$80.38
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$99.45
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$306.5
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$477.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,288.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+175.7%+$439.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.4%+$210.95
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+756.8%+$3,188.6
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$739.2
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,439.38
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,610.6
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+56.9%+$315.56
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+32.1%+$142.43
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.4%+$126.02
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27%+$14.85
DeepSeek banned in US before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,060.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$1,394.56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,221.87
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$662.77
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$142.91
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+55%+$348.89
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$532
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$215.83
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$1,741.12
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.68
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+73.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.88
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+300.3%+$1,666.76
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$106.65
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$111
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$111
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$111
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$174.43
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.8%+$315.11
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$159.73
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,037.36
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$190.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$188.74
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+83.1%+$553.34
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.8%+$452.76
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+349.3%+$3,873.84
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$554.92
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,084.91
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$258.86
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+216.8%+$164.69
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$154.53
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$222
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)backed Atletico Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+67.9%+$226.18
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63%+$209.82
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$194.05
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$66.31
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$57.18
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$266.3
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$444
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$188.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,042.45
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$777
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$444
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$132.62
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$444
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$333
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$32.3
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$490.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-69.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$235.9
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,884Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.3%+$1,773.83
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,780.11
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$8,139.06
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40%+$159.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$522.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$449
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,826.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick55cpaid-70.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$333
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$711
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$492.78
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$130.43
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+157.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$57.08
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$70.11
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$444
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,404.72
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,491.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$333
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.