Tennis · resolved market
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907895926f741e7f8c27091e72c7254ed7cdecc084ac17f4ac396fafb04e05ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Pegula, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Pegula | 60c | 52,826$31,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,884.91 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rybakina | 48c | 26,442$12,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,718.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Rybakina | 38c | 26,063$9,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,219.66 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pegula | 34c | 18,930$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,415.36 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Pegula | 33c | 15,275$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Pegula | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pegula | 32c | 10,605$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.65 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rybakina | 68c | 10,280$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.43 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rybakina | 56c | 10,226$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.03 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Pegula | 52c | 9,804$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.76 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rybakina | 57c | 8,298$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rybakina | 58c | 7,837$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.04 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pegula | 33c | 5,096$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Rybakina | 68c | 5,000$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.18 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Rybakina | 75c | 4,757$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Rybakina | 64c | 3,784$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rybakina | 39c | 3,728$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.91 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rybakina | 59c | 3,499$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.1 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Rybakina | 68c | 3,268$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.65 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Rybakina | 54c | 2,874$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Rybakina | 74c | 2,789$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.31 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0088…5f72backed Pegula | 61c | 2,724$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…1a99backed Pegula | 33c | 2,447$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Rybakina | 69c | 2,300$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.08 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Rybakina | 57c | 2,215$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.32 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Rybakina | 47c | 2,120$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.42 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Pegula | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Rybakina | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Pegula | 65c | 1,950$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Rybakina | 61c | 1,950$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.5 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Pegula | 12c | 1,702$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pegula | 32c | 1,700$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Pegula | 41c | 1,636$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.19 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…831bbacked Pegula | 63c | 1,581$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked Rybakina | 56c | 1,556$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.18 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…65c8backed Rybakina | 61c | 1,525$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Rybakina | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Pegula | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Rybakina | 67c | 1,470$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Rybakina | 68c | 1,461$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ba…e4cbbacked Rybakina | 77c | 1,387$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pegula | 35c | 1,333$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Pegula | 35c | 1,289$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Rybakina | 78c | 1,275$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.16 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Pegula | 34c | 1,263$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.79 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…614cbacked Rybakina | 80c | 1,251$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Rybakina | 61c | 1,210$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Pegula | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.97 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Rybakina | 58c | 1,114$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.26 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Pegula | 33c | 1,111$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Pegula | 34c | 1,092$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.14 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596d…1aadbacked Rybakina | 63c | 1,090$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Rybakina | 53c | 1,050$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Pegula | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.75 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Pegula | 25c | 917.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Pegula | 31c | 894.77$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Rybakina | 69c | 890.72$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Rybakina | 70c | 873.72$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pegula | 31c | 867.65$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…d794backed Rybakina | 67c | 840$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rybakina | 68c | 838.01$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rybakina | 67c | 834$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.22 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Rybakina | 61c | 819.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Rybakina | 55c | 817.14$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…9ee8backed Rybakina | 67c | 813$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Rybakina | 50c | 807.56$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Pegula | 31c | 806.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Rybakina | 66c | 799.98$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2a…2090backed Rybakina | 67c | 794$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Pegula | 45c | 766.66$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rybakina | 70c | 738$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rybakina | 52c | 726.59$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Rybakina | 73c | 723.4$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Rybakina | 71c | 722.54$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…6f8cbacked Rybakina | 61c | 679.49$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Pegula | 62c | 659.98$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.19 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pegula | 35c | 649.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.17 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Pegula | 44c | 636.3$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Rybakina | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Pegula | 34c | 617.35$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rybakina | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Rybakina | 44c | 599.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Pegula | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Rybakina | 69c | 591.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Rybakina | 66c | 590.91$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…f54fbacked Pegula | 11c | 530.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pegula | 34c | 510.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Rybakina | 60c | 510.31$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Rybakina | 45c | 500.15$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Pegula | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Rybakina | 69c | 482.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Pegula | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Pegula | 3c | 466.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Pegula | 34c | 459.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Rybakina | 68c | 444$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Rybakina | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Rybakina | 68c | 430.41$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pegula | 43c | 425.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Rybakina | 38c | 425$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.