TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee05…812f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+45%+$225.22
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+488.2%+$488.24
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$351.52
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$394.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.45
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+244.8%+$489.66
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$234.62
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.39
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$485
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+51.2%+$255.82
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$587.3
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$587.3
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,380.95
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,508.77
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$338.46
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+41.1%+$144.01
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$91.67
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$75.82
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$77.05
TCU vs. BYUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Michigan vs. Northwestern: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$48
South Florida vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Cincinnati (-5.5)backed Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$29.1
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.54
California vs. Louisvillebacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$266.67
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Iowa State vs. TCUbacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+253.8%+$609.22
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Northwestern vs. USCbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$38.1
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,230.13
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+84.4%+$1,315.19
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
US Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauffbacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+72%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$103.25
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.