TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof BYU, Texas Tech Red Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,186,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,288,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,186,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed BYU22c637,102$142,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,224.0812549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c203,370$157,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,461.6981847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…0d06backed BYU27c151,326$40,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,631.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c104,319$75,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,161.3985947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c72,160$56,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,250.253842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c67,000$51,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,41020450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c55,000$43,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,55012055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c53,076$40,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,207.485064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c47,773$36,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,110.622,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c44,144$33,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,153.215745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked BYU23c41,031$9,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,300.9168440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed BYU9c31,344$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.531717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c30,137$23,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,856.293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c29,582$22,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,830.3175651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c29,241$22,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,612.28851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c23,776$18,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,223.545440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c22,700$17,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.979750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked BYU22c18,182$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4508948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c14,800$11,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2561770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c12,751$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.8319362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed BYU24c12,332$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.1934250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x531b…dc66backed BYU11c10,967$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c10,736$8,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.454746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c9,760$7,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.88549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c9,059$6,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.0721348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed BYU23c9,055$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.186731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c5,709$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.9252641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7c…f77bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c5,420$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed BYU21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05019120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders75c4,777$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.2530949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed BYU23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c4,105$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.754959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed BYU19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9206947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders75c3,896$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.9149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked BYU15c3,800$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed BYU5c3,714$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.644022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed BYU20c3,703$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked BYU1c3,473$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders76c3,330$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.217655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed BYU15c3,293$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3611022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…37a4backed BYU23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.655446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.652951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders76c2,441$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed BYU20c2,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c2,279$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7819051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked BYU22c2,265$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.873135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c2,250$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.5811851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders75c2,100$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders75c2,069$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.2210753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked BYU22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed BYU21c1,899$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8411221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Texas Tech Red Raiders76c1,800$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.2234529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3455754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed BYU12c1,426$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1738546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1b…3740backed BYU24c1,425$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…fb63backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c1,400$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…baccbacked BYU23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked BYU21c1,300$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4150…d0ebbacked BYU10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.943119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c1,108$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7617361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c1,088$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3214752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefb…c552backed BYU23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked BYU23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06a…837dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed BYU10c999.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc77…03b8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c942.31$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders78c918$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c910.96$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5219842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce91…9c9fbacked BYU6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed BYU21c781$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0121644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed BYU18c723.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.384822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked BYU24c696.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5129249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c680$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.84257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66f3…bde4backed BYU23c658.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.571392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick57cpaid+58.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c650$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.53060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c641.35$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.916650%33 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders77c600$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed BYU22c600$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8f…6202backed Texas Tech Red Raiders78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f85…b41fbacked BYU2c568.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x190a…b170backed BYU23c555$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…d897backed BYU15c550.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders75c526.94$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.14247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed BYU23c504.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11613845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked BYU7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355028%14 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Texas Tech Red Raiders77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed BYU22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked BYU22c482.77$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4e…05e0backed BYU21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed BYU21c465.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee05…812fbacked BYU22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.