TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeefb…c552

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+354.5%+$312
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+185.7%+$422.5
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$342
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$217
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$610
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$357
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$560
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+244.8%+$710
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$710
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$620
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+400%+$800
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$560
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$392
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$275
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$560
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$590
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$650
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$284
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+266.6%+$719.89
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$602
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$520
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$96
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$472
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$220
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$259
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$540
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+669.2%+$870
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$710
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$650
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$600
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$240
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Appalachian State vs. Old Dominionbacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$510
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$710
Ohio State vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$640
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$550
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Korneevabacked Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.