College Football · resolved market
Arkansas State vs. South Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49ba8a448c29afde79ac0f9c9c37ef14706b39e1fd85a3f6e5d80aca8afc407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Stateof Arkansas State, South Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $956,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Arkansas State | 21c | 282,743$58,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,630.22 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked South Alabama | 73c | 120,546$87,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,907.75 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Arkansas State | 26c | 107,290$28,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,861.37 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arkansas State | 28c | 91,903$25,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,409.99 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas State | 20c | 22,191$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,837.55 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Arkansas State | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,599.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed South Alabama | 78c | 17,516$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750.08 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked South Alabama | 69c | 16,173$11,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220.87 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Arkansas State | 31c | 16,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,040 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Arkansas State | 28c | 15,845$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,408.4 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Arkansas State | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas State | 27c | 14,524$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584.99 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Arkansas State | 30c | 10,877$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.02 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked South Alabama | 71c | 9,595$6,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,830 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Arkansas State | 31c | 9,593$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed South Alabama | 74c | 8,769$6,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.06 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arkansas State | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arkansas State | 33c | 6,559$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.81 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked South Alabama | 70c | 5,983$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed South Alabama | 67c | 5,839$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.02 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas State | 18c | 5,636$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.58 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas State | 28c | 5,069$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed South Alabama | 72c | 5,008$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.75 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked South Alabama | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas State | 16c | 3,780$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.54 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arkansas State | 29c | 3,616$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.36 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arkansas State | 27c | 3,400$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.98 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas State | 27c | 3,316$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.53 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Arkansas State | 27c | 3,074$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.39 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed South Alabama | 71c | 2,999$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Arkansas State | 29c | 2,999$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Alabama | 42c | 2,720$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.55 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked South Alabama | 71c | 2,708$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.49 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Alabama | 10c | 2,128$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Arkansas State | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.08 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed South Alabama | 72c | 1,775$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…30bfbacked South Alabama | 73c | 1,690$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…828cbacked South Alabama | 73c | 1,636$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Arkansas State | 29c | 1,636$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…462bbacked Arkansas State | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Arkansas State | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.99 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Arkansas State | 28c | 1,398$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed South Alabama | 72c | 1,391$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…ed09backed South Alabama | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed South Alabama | 71c | 1,378$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.25 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed South Alabama | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Arkansas State | 8c | 1,206$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.56 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed South Alabama | 73c | 1,174$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Arkansas State | 21c | 1,138$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed South Alabama | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Arkansas State | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Arkansas State | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Arkansas State | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Arkansas State | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed South Alabama | 76c | 992.49$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed South Alabama | 80c | 978.33$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.22 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked South Alabama | 77c | 908.1$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed South Alabama | 2c | 888$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Arkansas State | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Arkansas State | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…06a3backed South Alabama | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3614…0468backed Arkansas State | 29c | 830$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Arkansas State | 43c | 773$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.61 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…7fe6backed South Alabama | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…d7a3backed Arkansas State | 28c | 678.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arkansas State | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Arkansas State | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…0408backed South Alabama | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked South Alabama | 71c | 529$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.59 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Arkansas State | 28c | 491.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed South Alabama | 72c | 406$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arkansas State | 42c | 398.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…1e03backed South Alabama | 58c | 344.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…0140backed Arkansas State | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed South Alabama | 72c | 339.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arkansas State | 9c | 317.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed South Alabama | 71c | 316.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Arkansas State | 36c | 316.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Alabama | 72c | 306.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Arkansas State | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed South Alabama | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked South Alabama | 11c | 282$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…e080backed South Alabama | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Arkansas State | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Arkansas State | 28c | 271.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Arkansas State | 30c | 263.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Arkansas State | 28c | 232.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Arkansas State | 29c | 210.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked South Alabama | 71c | 210$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Arkansas State | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Arkansas State | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Arkansas State | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked South Alabama | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…abb2backed Arkansas State | 28c | 189.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Arkansas State | 18c | 186$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arkansas State | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed South Alabama | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…8c55backed South Alabama | 71c | 142.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed South Alabama | 72c | 139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed South Alabama | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas State vs. South Alabamathis page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: South Alabama (-7.5)Arkansas State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.