College Football · resolved market
O/U 58.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8dcf1179a18b0b00e203d6d3137959485ebace9a6e140be9da966d29e3c88ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 54c | 52,554$28,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,435.89 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Over | 47c | 18,178$8,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,473.98 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 14,035$6,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,545.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 46c | 6,730$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.8 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Over | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Over | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Over | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.18 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 53c | 1,745$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.33 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 47c | 1,698$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.06 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 341.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Over | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…c18dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 47c | 33.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 47c | 30.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed Over | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 58.5this page
- Arkansas State vs. South AlabamaArkansas State won
- Spread: South Alabama (-7.5)Arkansas State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.