TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf800…f62d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
276
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT8347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,455.9
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.42
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.13
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,594.2
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,993.65
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,997.59
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$923.08
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,130
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,938
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,900
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$4,660
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,735.38
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,380
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,501.88
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,040.82
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$997.86
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,780
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,111.9
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,683Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$3,137.37
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST6656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,996.36
Spread: Clemson (-2.5)backed Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,080
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$2,127.27
Spread: Alabama (-1.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,001.03
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,130
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,160
Kentucky vs. Louisvillebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Washington (-10.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,453Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$3,187.68
Spread: Penn State (-8.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35.8%+$965.84
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$5,033.74
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,800
Spread: BYU (-4.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$6,458.42
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+54.1%+$1,973.43
Spread: Michigan (-9.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statebacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,650
Spread: Alabama (-9.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,523.11
Spread: Florida Gators (-3.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$939.92
Spread: TCU (-7.5)backed Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.9%+$1,917.47
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,995.71
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Appalachian State (-6.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$998.18
Spread: Appalachian State (-5.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,384.62
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT6357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$138.6
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,427.84
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,063.64
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.8
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,097.79
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,087.74
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,694.54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+94.1%+$978.82
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$1,880.2
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,234.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,792
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,340
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$4,662.56
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,866.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$2,724.55
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,727Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$7,756.02
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,380
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$423.53
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,677
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$997.38
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$6,780
Spread: Rams (-4.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$4,088.89
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,040.82
Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$997.86
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,005.19
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$1,000
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,610Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$2,723.33
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+84.7%+$1,100.91
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$997.86
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$5,010.38
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,023.08
Spread: Rams (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,430
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$996.67
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$998.57
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$2,085.52
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,015.38
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,618.47
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+57.5%+$799.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$58.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.