College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66f76a978bc2248a03204f8af574618236207ee2c726dc292520ad908cd97ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Oklahoma, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Oklahoma | 49c | 42,000$20,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,490 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Missouri | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Missouri | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Missouri | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Missouri | 50c | 10,838$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oklahoma | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Missouri | 54c | 7,037$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Oklahoma | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oklahoma | 48c | 6,099$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.39 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oklahoma | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 3,938$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.36 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Oklahoma | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Missouri | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oklahoma | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Missouri | 53c | 942.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Missouri | 52c | 430.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.66 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Missouri | 35c | 375$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oklahoma | 65c | 344.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Oklahoma | 49c | 333$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Missouri | 49c | 229.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Oklahoma | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…07a6backed Oklahoma | 48c | 151.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oklahoma | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Oklahoma | 58c | 141.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Missouri | 50c | 116.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Oklahoma | 50c | 116.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Oklahoma | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Oklahoma | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Missouri | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…6164backed Missouri | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Oklahoma | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Missouri | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Oklahoma | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Oklahoma | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Missouri | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Oklahoma | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Oklahoma | 51c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)this page
- Missouri vs. OklahomaOklahoma won
- Missouri vs. Oklahoma: 1H MoneylineOklahoma won
- Missouri vs. Oklahoma: O/U 43.5Under won
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)Oklahoma won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-7.5)Oklahoma won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-9.5)Oklahoma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.