TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ffa…1e06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.65
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H Moneylinebacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+327.4%+$163.68
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$195.56
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Magic (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.92
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.05
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)backed Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.2%+$31.27
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)backed Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-11.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
TCU vs. Houstonbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Michigan (-13.5)backed Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$129.22
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.