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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida State Seminolesof Florida State Seminoles, Virginia Tech Hokies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies65c20,270$13,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,160.9489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida State Seminoles35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles34c7,612$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies67c3,901$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.412,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies25c2,537$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.732,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles59c2,460$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.954,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Florida State Seminoles35c1,867$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.291,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida State Seminoles78c1,639$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.691,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida State Seminoles26c1,467$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.871,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Virginia Tech Hokies65c923.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Florida State Seminoles34c884.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.0911747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Virginia Tech Hokies36c876.28$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.816445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Florida State Seminoles33c836.48$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.371,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Virginia Tech Hokies39c833.64$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32415733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies71c764.53$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.783855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c751.87$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6437947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4da8…6511backed Florida State Seminoles38c751.28$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Virginia Tech Hokies71c701.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida State Seminoles26c693.34$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.4137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles67c656.35$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.375,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Florida State Seminoles46c627.89$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.052,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Florida State Seminoles45c568.33$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies71c560$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Florida State Seminoles36c536$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Florida State Seminoles33c461.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.322,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Virginia Tech Hokies22c444.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies56c442$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.991,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech Hokies32c400$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.511,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Florida State Seminoles35c395$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles35c374.46$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies74c337.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Florida State Seminoles28c303$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Virginia Tech Hokies10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Florida State Seminoles35c290$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.513743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies60c284.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17014062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Florida State Seminoles36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.787454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Virginia Tech Hokies66c249.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Virginia Tech Hokies73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Florida State Seminoles27c199.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Florida State Seminoles43c194.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Florida State Seminoles36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.671,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Florida State Seminoles36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Florida State Seminoles41c141.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Florida State Seminoles36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8918851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Florida State Seminoles36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8917950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7540…9827backed Florida State Seminoles36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech Hokies63c117$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.222,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Florida State Seminoles31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e08…3c69backed Florida State Seminoles38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+147.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Florida State Seminoles36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6429442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida State Seminoles47c94.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.693,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Virginia Tech Hokies67c89.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.021,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffa…1e06backed Florida State Seminoles36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Florida State Seminoles36c75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Tech Hokies74c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies69c74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Virginia Tech Hokies72c69.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia Tech Hokies54c53.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Florida State Seminoles54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9627358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Virginia Tech Hokies65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Florida State Seminoles21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21aa…aa43backed Virginia Tech Hokies24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Virginia Tech Hokies72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3621449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Florida State Seminoles80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Florida State Seminoles34c44.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5522730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Florida State Seminoles28c38.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0429012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Virginia Tech Hokies40c37.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb4cc…06e8backed Virginia Tech Hokies66c36.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies53c33.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.845,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Virginia Tech Hokies67c32.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies72c32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Virginia Tech Hokies65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Florida State Seminoles36c30.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5221646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Florida State Seminoles38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Virginia Tech Hokies71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206159%36 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b48…c530backed Virginia Tech Hokies74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Virginia Tech Hokies75c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.255453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8f…6cb9backed Florida State Seminoles79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Florida State Seminoles65c24.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Virginia Tech Hokies70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies56c20.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.515947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Virginia Tech Hokies62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.313464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Virginia Tech Hokies65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…43c9backed Florida State Seminoles78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.233100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Virginia Tech Hokies74c18.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5814171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.