TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeac2…fd78

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT22041.8%92 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 220 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$26.52
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$27.47
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$78.81
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$72.07
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$65.28
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$56.95
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$45.56
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$52.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Showing 25 of 220 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Montana Grizzlies vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
Wagner Seahawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.63
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Bradley Braves vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$22.04
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Wichita State Shockers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+76.3%+$16.97
South Florida Bulls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.26
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Siena Saints vs. Marist Red Foxesbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.48
Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.32
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.42
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.44
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+98%+$18.18
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.58
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.64
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Coppin State Eagles vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+463.3%+$95.07
Stanford Cardinal vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+102.9%+$21.1
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.96
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería vs. Granada CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.