Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a9a25d9736ea30d7501857309b35ee407743cb15276f85928785defe71671e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal Poly Mustangsof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, Cal Poly Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 5,319$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.73 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 49c | 4,000$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 3,248$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.24 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 3,162$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.57 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 2,186$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 1,999$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.43 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 35c | 1,597$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 26c | 1,429$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.71 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 61c | 1,414$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.22 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 14c | 1,186$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 28c | 1,171$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 1,031$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.65 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 867.53$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.28 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 40c | 860$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.63 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 811.87$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 4c | 796.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 63c | 761.22$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 760.39$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.47 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 41c | 620$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 614.18$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 54c | 605.64$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 33c | 591.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 36c | 571$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.44 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 47c | 515.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 24c | 419$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 36c | 377$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 62c | 351.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 300.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 275.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 31c | 238.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 217$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 204.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 28c | 193$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 36c | 167$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 36c | 140.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 63c | 123$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 98.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 36c | 90.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 39c | 82.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 82.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 30c | 74.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 71.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 37c | 69.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 59.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 29c | 54.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 29c | 47.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 37c | 46.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 43.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 53c | 40.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 40.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…fd78backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 44c | 32.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…a3eabacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 76c | 25.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…36ffbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64c | 24.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 56c | 24.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangsthis page
- Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-4.5)Cal Poly Mustangs won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 159.5Over won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.