TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dd1…ec0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.89
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.67
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+479.7%+$479.71
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.63
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$559
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$92.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.2
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$4,172.16
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.43
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.92
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.98
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$340.95
Villanova Wildcats vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$166
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+167.5%+$505.13
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$250
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+573.6%+$143.39
Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+189%+$377.91
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200.8
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$63.27
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$193.32
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$44.73
Brown Bears vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Grambling State Tigers vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Coppin State Eagles vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jaime Fariabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+70.7%+$166.78
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lille: Jerome Kym vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.76
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Jay Clarkebacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+182.2%+$124.18
New Delhi: Felix Gill vs Michael Geertsbacked Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+354.5%+$177.27
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteirobacked Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$105.29
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rio Open: Tomas Barrios vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Open: Jesper de Jong vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$192.38
Rio Open: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+279%+$604.9
Rio Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$191.19
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-77.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$5,102.14
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+84.6%+$912.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$556
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$77.15
Will Burnley FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$469.06
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+1,150%+$1,725
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$468.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.