Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Jerome Kym vs Titouan Droguet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c5d5f525598352b19b9894d33eef2642bef66f804587e7472167d73132d74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kymof Kym, Droguet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed Droguet | 0c | 27,540$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kym | 65c | 4,739$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kym | 74c | 4,600$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Droguet | 38c | 3,391$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.12 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Droguet | 40c | 3,376$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.68 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Kym | 61c | 2,214$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.45 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Droguet | 56c | 2,032$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.56 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Kym | 65c | 1,427$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Droguet | 32c | 1,072$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Droguet | 30c | 898$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Droguet | 59c | 859.99$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kym | 41c | 683.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.24 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Droguet | 30c | 640.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kym | 41c | 592.18$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.58 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kym | 42c | 587.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Kym | 61c | 585$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Droguet | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kym | 62c | 416.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Droguet | 60c | 348.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kym | 59c | 326.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Droguet | 14c | 314.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kym | 43c | 304.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Droguet | 36c | 268$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Droguet | 40c | 246.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Droguet | 36c | 239.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Droguet | 42c | 238.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Kym | 43c | 234.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kym | 42c | 214.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kym | 44c | 199$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Droguet | 48c | 197.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Droguet | 54c | 183.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Droguet | 55c | 182.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kym | 58c | 180.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Kym | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Droguet | 61c | 165.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Kym | 41c | 150.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Droguet | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Droguet | 55c | 145.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Droguet | 56c | 143.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kym | 72c | 141.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Kym | 41c | 140.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kym | 36c | 127.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Droguet | 42c | 125.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kym | 54c | 124.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Droguet | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kym | 69c | 116.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Droguet | 15c | 111.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Droguet | 40c | 109.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Droguet | 31c | 104.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kym | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Droguet | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kym | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kym | 55c | 97.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Kym | 61c | 81.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Droguet | 59c | 80.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Droguet | 53c | 79.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Droguet | 23c | 78.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Droguet | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Droguet | 59c | 72.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Droguet | 50c | 67.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Droguet | 34c | 62.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Kym | 43c | 56.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Droguet | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Droguet | 28c | 47.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kym | 78c | 47.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kym | 42c | 46.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Kym | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Droguet | 42c | 43.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Droguet | 59c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…7812backed Kym | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Droguet | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Droguet | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Droguet | 41c | 33.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Droguet | 37c | 31.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Droguet | 58c | 30.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Droguet | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Droguet | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Kym | 56c | 25.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Droguet | 54c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Kym | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Kym | 75c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Kym | 64c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.