TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59d0…a871

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST17354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+141%+$62.05
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+244.8%+$34.28
Pune: Alastair Gray vs Federico Cinabacked Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Terence Atmanebacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Merida Open Akron: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+193.1%+$38.63
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Magdalena Frechbacked Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lugano: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Lugano: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
ATX Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Pune: Edas Butvilas vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pune: Sumit Nagal vs Felix Gillbacked Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Antalya: Iryna Shymanovich vs Despina Papamichailbacked Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Merida Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Marina Stakusicbacked Stakusic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderibacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
St. Brieuc: Moise Kouame vs Titouan Droguetbacked Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Lugano: Maxim Mrva vs Michael Mmohbacked Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+270.4%+$32.44
Chile Open: Francisco Comesana vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$34.94
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draperbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$34.15
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST7550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$31.42
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$25.9
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.4%+$12.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.