Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Dominic Stephan Stricker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959fca8f9e5fe8bbb252a808ef069b24ba06566400fb6645fbf47f07e193aa08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Strickerof Canas, Stricker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canas | 9c | 3,098$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Stricker | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Canas | 8c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canas | 18c | 1,751$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.41 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Canas | 36c | 1,649$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.63 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Canas | 34c | 1,603$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Stricker | 65c | 1,523$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stricker | 66c | 1,192$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Canas | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Canas | 16c | 943.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Canas | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Canas | 35c | 725.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Canas | 20c | 606.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Canas | 13c | 602.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Stricker | 67c | 600.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Canas | 33c | 447.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Canas | 37c | 435.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Canas | 16c | 340.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stricker | 64c | 330.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Canas | 35c | 321$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Canas | 32c | 299.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Stricker | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Canas | 15c | 287.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Canas | 35c | 271.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Canas | 39c | 255.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Canas | 22c | 236.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Stricker | 68c | 222.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Canas | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stricker | 79c | 170.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canas | 13c | 158.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Canas | 32c | 151.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Stricker | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Canas | 17c | 148.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Canas | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…4864backed Canas | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Stricker | 61c | 107.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Canas | 34c | 104.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Canas | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Stricker | 64c | 100.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stricker | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Canas | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canas | 31c | 89.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…91d2backed Stricker | 69c | 82.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canas | 28c | 76.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Stricker | 80c | 70.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Stricker | 67c | 66.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canas | 24c | 65.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Stricker | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Canas | 34c | 58.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Stricker | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Stricker | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5687backed Stricker | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Stricker | 65c | 41.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…f90dbacked Stricker | 79c | 37.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Canas | 33c | 36.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Canas | 35c | 31.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Stricker | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Stricker | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Stricker | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…74cfbacked Stricker | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Stricker | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Stricker | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Stricker | 66c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.