Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5674f548512042b1801334afb4d096c1775eef4f32027a906a6aeba1860b417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Arsenal FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 74,871$34,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,430.25 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 71,809$38,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,776.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 22,967$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 49c | 19,250$9,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 10,838$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,862.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…1f59backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 7,800$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.87 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 5,689$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.36 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 4,824$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.17 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 4,258$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 4,215$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.9 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 3,588$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 3,120$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 2,930$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.35 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 2,440$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.38 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 2,209$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 2,209$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.66 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,916$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 1,689$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.55 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 1,600$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.98 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 1,123$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.14 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 975$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.75 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 970.37$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arsenal FC | 25c | 876.67$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.17 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…a09ebacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 616.58$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 565.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 563.29$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.91 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 502.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Arsenal FC | 60c | 496.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 464.96$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.78 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 403.91$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…680dbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…c6b6backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 280.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 239.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…b48bbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 221.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 218.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Arsenal FC | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Arsenal FC | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Arsenal FC | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 199.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 179.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC | 42c | 174.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 172.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 166.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arsenal FC | 56c | 159.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 154.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Arsenal FC | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 43c | 119.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Arsenal FC | 58c | 119.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Arsenal FC | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Arsenal FC | 53c | 107.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 48c | 103.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Arsenal FC | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.