Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47446ab3dfd976b1deb6761c53f7d2e1ab5f20eae908c3ef4355849aa83b8b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f84…800bbacked Yes | 7c | 7,819$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked No | 60c | 1,871$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 60c | 1,312$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.4 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 1,075$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.6 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,021$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.3 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 711.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 649.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 56c | 601.31$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 44c | 456.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 399.85$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 40c | 345$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 43c | 326.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 44c | 290.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 39c | 289$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 241.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 9c | 233.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Yes | 30c | 228$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed No | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed No | 71c | 208$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed No | 58c | 198.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 10c | 195.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 64c | 127.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 124.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 40c | 107.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Yes | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 40c | 90.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 42c | 88.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 75.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6593backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…595bbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…c87fbacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…fbb5backed No | 65c | 61.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 42c | 48.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 31c | 39.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 39c | 38.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 58c | 35.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 39c | 32.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 35c | 31.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 57c | 30.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked No | 60c | 21.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 58c | 20.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.