TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d10…e270backed Over34c67,197$22,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,551.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c53,092$35,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,3026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under65c18,233$11,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,824.22,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c5,509$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.444,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…8f11backed Under78c5,376$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc83d…b116backed Over22c5,376$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,193.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over68c3,683$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over32c3,153$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.376435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over68c3,102$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.172475%18 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under65c3,043$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97819253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c2,851$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.9385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over53c1,658$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.322548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,450$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under45c1,442$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.4419652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over35c1,431$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.434738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over28c1,249$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.39732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under32c1,209$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.191,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over70c1,191$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8716753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under59c1,175$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over34c1,093$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.3830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.965350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,031$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under59c1,011$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c999.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.8826548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over49c900$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45630645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over23c800$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under67c620$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0128242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Over34c590.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.932429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over64c452$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.721080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+96.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under67c449.43$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.122548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under19c423.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e69…c190backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over34c367.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.652948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under11c363$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over38c312$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27316.5%2 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over60c296.67$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.676666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over77c255.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.415058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over35c214.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under9c204.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42010%2 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fe…2fa9backed Under75c193.68$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over34c168.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0723435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under67c164.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.246750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under65c163.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.319556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under67c151.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8318052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Over34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under69c145.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4335134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under63c128.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1925348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over33c125$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ef…1f17backed Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.48648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6535328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9670…6589backed Under9c117.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c114.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.558746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cff…9802backed Under77c113.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over39c108.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1913842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.069946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over34c105.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8814551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under68c105.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over27c104.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.541,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under67c104$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over40c102.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over33c100.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8220143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b9…e557backed Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over38c95.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.453847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Over55c89.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over33c86.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under36c84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under66c83.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.088056.3%45 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over23c82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.142665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9220864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Under72c74.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under68c73.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under59c72.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.74146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.25932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22917.2%5 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Over35c59.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under55c59.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.717745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.348048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Over33c55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.853644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over23c52.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1728633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7220956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0307…e13cbacked Over35c48.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over34c45.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2612236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c03…d9bcbacked Under44c45.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4525256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under68c44.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.