TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0592…49aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 62 out of 100; worst Cricket at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Southern Bravebacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Firebacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.58
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.64
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$178.67
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.89
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.11
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.4
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.94
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.45
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.06
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$73.04
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+264.3%+$214.16
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.11
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$73.2
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$140
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+82.9%+$40.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$108.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+56.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.91
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$401.95
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$133
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$71.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$33.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.36
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$53.99
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+80.3%+$57.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.4%+$6.96
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+89.1%+$57.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$118.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.7%+$53.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.