Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2014351824aa8679b71d337e7578c9ff1c052bd33b2d8532cf77630d1acab0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,394 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 61c | 105,691$64,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,935.01 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 37c | 54,547$20,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,459.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 40c | 42,385$16,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,431.23 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 40,735$24,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,111.79 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 37c | 27,127$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,111.58 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 41c | 11,288$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.9 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Over | 39c | 5,534$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 45c | 3,456$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 41c | 3,134$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.61 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…277dbacked Over | 39c | 2,560$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 40c | 2,521$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.07 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Over | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 40c | 2,372$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.74 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 2,317$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.6 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 1,465$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.84 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 14c | 1,292$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 37c | 1,196$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.42 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 63c | 989.1$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.13 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 62c | 975.06$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.62 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 54c | 969.83$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Over | 40c | 956.28$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 64c | 937.89$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 879.67$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.73 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 62c | 834.84$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 39c | 770.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.27 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 54c | 760$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 59c | 746.42$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.38 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 735$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 60c | 708.09$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 62c | 645.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.3 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 78c | 483$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 64c | 477.11$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 38c | 419.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…65c6backed Over | 39c | 417.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 60c | 409.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 365$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…e13ebacked Over | 37c | 359.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 63c | 357.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 56c | 356.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 39c | 355.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…b10dbacked Over | 37c | 321.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Over | 59c | 320.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 62c | 300$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Over | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 64c | 263.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 36c | 260.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 65c | 259.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 16c | 252.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 45c | 249.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 64c | 234.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 38c | 197.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 62c | 193.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 12c | 188$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 62c | 185.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 41c | 184.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 21c | 172.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Over | 36c | 165.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 62c | 157.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Under | 45c | 157.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 64c | 156.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 37c | 154.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 40c | 154.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 153$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 62c | 149.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 64c | 140.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 40c | 138.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 41c | 138.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 37c | 137.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 52c | 134.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…8609backed Under | 64c | 134.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.