TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,863 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,499.94654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c38,848$15,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,052.631,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b4…148abacked Under0c36,380$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under41c29,702$12,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,177.652937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over63c15,873$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.165466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c12,573$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.521,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over58c10,850$6,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.32330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under37c6,951$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.033641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under41c5,500$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25538748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9815032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.844020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under41c4,781$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under42c4,400$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Over62c3,303$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.216451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6915252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over59c3,175$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.5713245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b22…c824backed Over61c2,470$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over61c2,288$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.263246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over59c1,920$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.5926047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over61c1,700$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.059757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over62c1,609$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.1420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c1,350$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.128043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under40c980.76$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.1915038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under40c952.84$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under41c899.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36513644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over62c887.58$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.583764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over62c804.91$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.493464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Over61c799.71$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.893053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under39c753$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.673839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under38c737.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under41c732.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c721.31$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.317065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over62c657.55$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.871030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under18c653.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c627.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24613349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8420…d5c0backed Over60c583.76$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa950…d92ebacked Under39c535.8$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Under38c526.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+143.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over63c508.07$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0712242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1610543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under41c493$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.039748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3e…ca63backed Under41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over61c483.87$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.713154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c1…0bc4backed Over61c463$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c409.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8810256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d8…d896backed Over61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.842450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over62c400.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.562835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16414645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.622045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.998038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Over63c398.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.481376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under40c387$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0820042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under41c367.45$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.546741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under10c355$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.56536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a37…6b48backed Under41c345.39$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…fc5ebacked Over60c343.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4240…02fbbacked Under41c342.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Over62c338.92$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5db6…8cd7backed Over60c338.62$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under41c333.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.948643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over59c299.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224161%25 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under40c297.73$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under41c291.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6129746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over63c282.52$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.521560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Over63c279.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.63875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a36…5eabbacked Over78c254.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over59c254.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.540350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.550247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over61c246.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Over63c238.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.092045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under40c230.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.325437%20 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under38c222.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4420643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over61c221.31$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.314330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over61c220$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over60c208.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.682878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c203.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.679653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785450%27 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.24650%23 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c190.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.784957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under41c188.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5513246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec9f…2338backed Under43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c172.62$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6212269.7%85 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under33c168.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675630.4%17 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937064.3%45 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.936163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d99…99a2backed Under40c161$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.