TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Chelsea FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,713 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chelsea FC2c93,510$2,175 inLost-$2,174.6929949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Chelsea FC78c1,283$1,001 inLost-$1,000.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC1c754.47$10 inWon+$744.019845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC10c433.33$43 inWon+$3908043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC15c353.45$52 inWon+$301.581,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c300$51 inWon+$24922647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC13c296.37$39 inWon+$257.856536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Paris Saint-Germain FC42c239.45$100 inWon+$139.851770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC13c212.77$28 inWon+$185.1115038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC11c205.64$23 inWon+$182.326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC13c200$26 inWon+$17420639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Paris Saint-Germain FC16c189.38$30 inWon+$159.375928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Paris Saint-Germain FC13c153.85$20 inWon+$133.855843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC12c130.61$16 inWon+$114.9415847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chelsea FC25c117.38$30 inLost-$29.821217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC11c112.36$12 inWon+$10050247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c93.75$15 inWon+$78.752748.1%13 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+105.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Chelsea FC46c77.94$36 inLost-$35.939966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC41c66.73$27 inWon+$39.5824545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Chelsea FC24c51.86$12 inLost-$12.42556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC30c50$15 inWon+$35.1411952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Chelsea FC77c19$15 inLost-$14.636953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.