Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2450d632d2ee0e92814fabe7b54a53619f6593ecc6750be174613414d66e7782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,549 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 20,162$13,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,825.22 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118e…53ecbacked Over | 64c | 7,817$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.98 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Over | 23c | 4,803$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 46c | 4,026$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 3,132$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.15 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 48c | 2,612$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 40c | 1,625$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.68 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 55c | 1,539$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.34 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 53c | 1,238$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.38 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,228$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.68 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 23c | 1,135$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.64 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 64c | 991.93$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 978.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 976.93$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.42 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Over | 54c | 921.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 821.15$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 70c | 770.77$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Under | 33c | 758.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 76c | 666$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 23c | 618$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.44 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 72c | 596.4$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 53c | 592.45$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 20c | 514.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.31 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Over | 54c | 507.24$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 19c | 501.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 80c | 499.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Over | 63c | 491.55$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 23c | 452.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.17 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 54c | 452.06$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 45c | 449$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 69c | 434.59$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 54c | 430.94$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 79c | 421.55$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.91 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 80c | 399.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 19c | 316.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Over | 77c | 258.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 80c | 250.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 20c | 249.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 71c | 243.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Under | 48c | 241.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 22c | 223.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 23c | 209.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Under | 80c | 197.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 35c | 194.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…619cbacked Under | 80c | 194.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 190.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 389 | 53.7%209 W · 180 L | +21.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f4…36b0backed Over | 23c | 186$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 178$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 161.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Over | 54c | 147.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 147.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 130.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed Over | 24c | 129.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…967bbacked Under | 80c | 125.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf398…1b15backed Over | 19c | 122$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 120.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e931backed Over | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 80c | 113.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Under | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…7d64backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cf86backed Over | 19c | 106$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Over | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 21c | 100.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 20c | 100.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 20c | 100.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…ada3backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 48c | 97.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 38c | 94.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 40c | 92.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 41c | 88.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 23c | 87.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.