TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fc1…0c67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.16
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.24
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.8
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$437.14
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$812.12
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$73.05
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.16
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+68.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.72
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.74
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.49
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.74
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.23
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.57
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,583.86
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.66
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$113.08
Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$1,459.3
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.52
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+1,413.2%+$353.31
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+929.3%+$418.19
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$765
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42.38
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.6%+$623.73
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,614.09
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+194.1%+$498.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+540.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+154.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+196.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78%+$107.63
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$245.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.