Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af5f84576108c73b2f5bc58290659dc329d42bc3355ee713a41678e1a0c69f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 66c | 110,485$72,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,619.73 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 23,830$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.84 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed No | 70c | 19,480$13,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 19,435$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.84 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 24c | 17,779$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.39 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 16c | 17,649$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 30c | 17,530$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.75 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 76c | 13,221$10,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.26 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 11,502$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.54 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 30c | 11,457$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…4d42backed No | 75c | 11,398$8,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 48c | 11,000$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,286 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 69c | 10,684$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed No | 70c | 10,478$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 69c | 9,172$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…04febacked Yes | 39c | 8,648$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 37c | 8,024$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.64 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 18c | 7,956$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 67c | 7,716$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 37c | 7,637$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 27c | 7,307$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.29 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 50c | 7,108$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 19c | 7,043$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 6c | 6,354$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 33c | 5,873$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.54 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 28c | 5,500$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.44 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 5,345$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.84 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 23c | 4,705$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.86 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 64c | 4,669$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.06 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 1c | 4,552$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 26c | 4,004$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.56 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…9c9cbacked No | 63c | 3,371$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 67c | 3,355$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…deaebacked Yes | 3c | 3,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 33c | 2,184$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…ae3cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,164$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed No | 68c | 2,083$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 29c | 1,933$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 71c | 1,927$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.81 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,862$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked No | 69c | 1,812$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 56c | 1,796$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…369bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,732$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d974backed Yes | 3c | 1,692$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…0981backed Yes | 3c | 1,653$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,588$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes | 32c | 1,537$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 45c | 1,450$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…e38fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,437$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 5c | 1,407$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,361$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.61 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 1,306$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 27c | 1,217$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.81 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 73c | 1,211$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 25c | 1,203$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 66c | 1,191$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.93 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 66c | 1,178$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.72 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…1f67backed Yes | 17c | 1,162$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 23c | 1,127$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…9e59backed No | 67c | 1,020$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 71c | 1,000$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 41c | 997.86$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 48c | 967.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…9dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 963.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 71c | 929$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 918.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed No | 70c | 899.24$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 62c | 887.18$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.66 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 64c | 870$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 31c | 856.18$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…4b5ebacked No | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…fa03backed Yes | 30c | 793.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…cb87backed Yes | 38c | 791.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 31c | 788.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 76c | 784$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…6ab2backed Yes | 18c | 779.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 29c | 768$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 51c | 741$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.09 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 22c | 715.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 71c | 687.86$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked No | 51c | 684.52$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 30c | 662.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed Yes | 47c | 609.93$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 35c | 605.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 67c | 600.48$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 16c | 593.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 66c | 585.64$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?this page
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Butch Ware advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ramsey Robinson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes won
- Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes won
- Will Zoltan Istvan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.