Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43dcd48e7e7f231c4aea4840b866ea661f22fb9b95ced8b1875f9a0a6f1d177e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 1c | 35,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,020$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 104 | 1%1 W · 103 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,735$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 4,430$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 19c | 2,665$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…3e2bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,708$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…080fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,583$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 50c | 1,514$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.52 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 7c | 1,311$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…bcd4backed Yes | 2c | 1,001$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 50c | 999$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.06 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 73c | 799.48$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 37c | 776.53$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 25c | 445.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…5b24backed No | 79c | 440.65$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 42c | 391.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 31c | 359.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 41c | 357.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 229.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 228$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 35c | 186$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 57c | 176.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a451backed Yes | 54c | 158$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked No | 41c | 142.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 16c | 136.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 73c | 132$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 58c | 120.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked No | 45c | 111.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…790abacked No | 38c | 103.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked No | 43c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 70c | 101.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…c0f4backed No | 35c | 98.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…c686backed No | 39c | 97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 49c | 92.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…e6c0backed No | 37c | 87.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 70c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…72aabacked No | 29c | 81.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 80.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 55c | 77.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 59c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…7295backed Yes | 60c | 67.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…b529backed No | 68c | 58.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 54c | 58.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 51c | 55.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 61c | 55.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 68c | 55.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed No | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 58c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 50c | 49.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa471…c91fbacked No | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 38c | 45.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 35c | 44.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed No | 28c | 43.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…d0eebacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 43c | 36.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 60c | 35.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 64c | 29.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…a6e0backed No | 35c | 28.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 43c | 26.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…0a48backed Yes | 65c | 22.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…e79cbacked Yes | 67c | 20.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…0ec4backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…bea0backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?this page
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Butch Ware advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ramsey Robinson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Ryan Tillman advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes won
- Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes won
- Will Zoltan Istvan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.