TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x976e…ecf3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$164.94
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$16.27
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$5.63
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.64
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.78
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.53
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.74
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,075.99
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.05
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$471.91
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.69
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$73.49
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$29.32
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$27.26
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.5
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.59
Spread: Pistons (-17.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$304.9
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.85
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$22.6
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.54
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81%+$94.12
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.75
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$13.2
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$161.1
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$20.89
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.43
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$43.95
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$24.28
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$12.91
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+87%+$191.56
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$31.58
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+379%+$117.1
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$6.14
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$12.71
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$13.01
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.85
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$22.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$55.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.